Modeling of Advanced Threat Actors: Characterization, Categorization and Detection

Tesis por compendio[ES] La información y los sistemas que la tratan son un activo a proteger para personas, organizaciones e incluso países enteros. Nuestra dependencia en las tecnologías de la información es cada día mayor, por lo que su seguridad es clave para nuestro bienestar. Los beneficios que estas tecnologías nos proporcionan son incuestionables, pero su uso también introduce riesgos que ligados a nuestra creciente dependencia de las mismas es necesario mitigar. Los actores hostiles avanzados se categorizan principalmente en grupos criminales que buscan un beneficio económico y en países cuyo objetivo es obtener superioridad en ámbitos estratégicos como el comercial o el militar. Estos actores explotan las tecnologías, y en particular el ciberespacio, para lograr sus objetivos. La presente tesis doctoral realiza aportaciones significativas a la caracterización de los actores hostiles avanzados y a la detección de sus actividades. El análisis de sus características es básico no sólo para conocer a estos actores y sus operaciones, sino para facilitar el despliegue de contramedidas que incrementen nuestra seguridad. La detección de dichas operaciones es el primer paso necesario para neutralizarlas, y por tanto para minimizar su impacto. En el ámbito de la caracterización, este trabajo profundiza en el análisis de las tácticas y técnicas de los actores. Dicho análisis siempre es necesario para una correcta detección de las actividades hostiles en el ciberespacio, pero en el caso de los actores avanzados, desde grupos criminales hasta estados, es obligatorio: sus actividades son sigilosas, ya que el éxito de las mismas se basa, en la mayor parte de casos, en no ser detectados por la víctima. En el ámbito de la detección, este trabajo identifica y justifica los requisitos clave para poder establecer una capacidad adecuada frente a los actores hostiles avanzados. Adicionalmente, proporciona las tácticas que deben ser implementadas en los Centros de Operaciones de Seguridad para optimizar sus capacidades de detección y respuesta. Debemos destacar que estas tácticas, estructuradas en forma de kill-chain, permiten no sólo dicha optimización, sino también una aproximación homogénea y estructurada común para todos los centros defensivos. En mi opinión, una de las bases de mi trabajo debe ser la aplicabilidad de los resultados. Por este motivo, el análisis de tácticas y técnicas de los actores de la amenaza está alineado con el principal marco de trabajo público para dicho análisis, MITRE ATT&CK. Los resultados y propuestas de esta investigación pueden ser directamente incluidos en dicho marco, mejorando así la caracterización de los actores hostiles y de sus actividades en el ciberespacio. Adicionalmente, las propuestas para mejorar la detección de dichas actividades son de aplicación directa tanto en los Centros de Operaciones de Seguridad actuales como en las tecnologías de detección más comunes en la industria. De esta forma, este trabajo mejora de forma significativa las capacidades de análisis y detección actuales, y por tanto mejora a su vez la neutralización de operaciones hostiles. Estas capacidades incrementan la seguridad global de todo tipo de organizaciones y, en definitiva, de nuestra sociedad.[CA] La informació i els sistemas que la tracten són un actiu a protegir per a persones, organitzacions i fins i tot països sencers. La nostra dependència en les tecnologies de la informació es cada dia major, i per aixó la nostra seguretat és clau per al nostre benestar. Els beneficis que aquestes tecnologies ens proporcionen són inqüestionables, però el seu ús també introdueix riscos que, lligats a la nostra creixent dependència de les mateixes és necessari mitigar. Els actors hostils avançats es categoritzen principalment en grups criminals que busquen un benefici econòmic i en països el objectiu dels quals és obtindre superioritat en àmbits estratègics, com ara el comercial o el militar. Aquests actors exploten les tecnologies, i en particular el ciberespai, per a aconseguir els seus objectius. La present tesi doctoral realitza aportacions significatives a la caracterització dels actors hostils avançats i a la detecció de les seves activitats. L'anàlisi de les seves característiques és bàsic no solament per a conéixer a aquests actors i les seves operacions, sinó per a facilitar el desplegament de contramesures que incrementen la nostra seguretat. La detección de aquestes operacions és el primer pas necessari per a netralitzar-les, i per tant, per a minimitzar el seu impacte. En l'àmbit de la caracterització, aquest treball aprofundeix en l'anàlisi de lestàctiques i tècniques dels actors. Aquesta anàlisi sempre és necessària per a una correcta detecció de les activitats hostils en el ciberespai, però en el cas dels actors avançats, des de grups criminals fins a estats, és obligatòria: les seves activitats són sigiloses, ja que l'éxit de les mateixes es basa, en la major part de casos, en no ser detectats per la víctima. En l'àmbit de la detecció, aquest treball identifica i justifica els requisits clau per a poder establir una capacitat adequada front als actors hostils avançats. Adicionalment, proporciona les tàctiques que han de ser implementades en els Centres d'Operacions de Seguretat per a optimitzar les seves capacitats de detecció i resposta. Hem de destacar que aquestes tàctiques, estructurades en forma de kill-chain, permiteixen no només aquesta optimització, sinò tambié una aproximació homogènia i estructurada comú per a tots els centres defensius. En la meva opinio, una de les bases del meu treball ha de ser l'aplicabilitat dels resultats. Per això, l'anàlisi de táctiques i tècniques dels actors de l'amenaça està alineada amb el principal marc públic de treball per a aquesta anàlisi, MITRE ATT&CK. Els resultats i propostes d'aquesta investigació poden ser directament inclosos en aquest marc, millorant així la caracterització dels actors hostils i les seves activitats en el ciberespai. Addicionalment, les propostes per a millorar la detecció d'aquestes activitats són d'aplicació directa tant als Centres d'Operacions de Seguretat actuals com en les tecnologies de detecció més comuns de la industria. D'aquesta forma, aquest treball millora de forma significativa les capacitats d'anàlisi i detecció actuals, i per tant millora alhora la neutralització d'operacions hostils. Aquestes capacitats incrementen la seguretat global de tot tipus d'organitzacions i, en definitiva, de la nostra societat.[EN] Information and its related technologies are a critical asset to protect for people, organizations and even whole countries. Our dependency on information technologies increases every day, so their security is a key issue for our wellness. The benefits that information technologies provide are questionless, but their usage also presents risks that, linked to our growing dependency on technologies, we must mitigate. Advanced threat actors are mainly categorized in criminal gangs, with an economic goal, and countries, whose goal is to gain superiority in strategic affairs such as commercial or military ones. These actors exploit technologies, particularly cyberspace, to achieve their goals. This PhD Thesis significantly contributes to advanced threat actors' categorization and to the detection of their hostile activities. The analysis of their features is a must not only to know better these actors and their operations, but also to ease the deployment of countermeasures that increase our security. The detection of these operations is a mandatory first step to neutralize them, so to minimize their impact. Regarding characterization, this work delves into the analysis of advanced threat actors' tactics and techniques. This analysis is always required for an accurate detection of hostile activities in cyberspace, but in the particular case of advances threat actors, from criminal gangs to nation-states, it is mandatory: their activities are stealthy, as their success in most cases relies on not being detected by the target. Regarding detection, this work identifies and justifies the key requirements to establish an accurate response capability to face advanced threat actors. In addition, this work defines the tactics to be deployed in Security Operations Centers to optimize their detection and response capabilities. It is important to highlight that these tactics, with a kill-chain arrangement, allow not only this optimization, but particularly a homogeneous and structured approach, common to all defensive centers. In my opinion, one of the main bases of my work must be the applicability of its results. For this reason, the analysis of threat actors' tactics and techniques is aligned with the main public framework for this analysis, MITRE ATT&CK. The results and proposals from this research can be directly included in this framework, improving the threat actors' characterization, as well as their cyberspace activities' one. In addition, the proposals to improve these activities' detection are directly applicable both in current Security Operations Centers and in common industry technologies. In this way, I consider that this work significantly improves current analysis and detection capabilities, and at the same time it improves hostile operations' neutralization. These capabilities increase global security for all kind of organizations and, definitely, for our whole society.Villalón Huerta, A. (2023). Modeling of Advanced Threat Actors: Characterization, Categorization and Detection [Tesis doctoral]. Universitat Politècnica de València. https://doi.org/10.4995/Thesis/10251/193855Compendi

SOC Critical Path: A defensive Kill Chain model

[EN] Different kill chain models have been defined and analyzed to provide a common sequence of actions followed in offensive cyber operations. These models allow analysts to identify these operations and to understand how they are executed. However, there is a lack of an equivalent model from a defensive point of view: this is, there is no common sequence of actions for the detection of threats and their accurate response. This lack causes not only problems such as unstructured approaches and conceptual errors but, what is most important, inefficiency in the detection and response to threats, as defensive tactics are not well identified. For this reason, in this work we present a defensive kill chain approach where tactics for teams in charge of cyber defense activities are structured and arranged. We introduce the concept of SOC Critical Path (SCP), a novel kill chain model to detect and neutralize threats. SCP is a technology¿independent model that provides an arrangement of mandatory steps, in the form of tactics, to be executed by Computer Network Defense teams to detect hostile cyber operations. By adopting this novel model, these teams increase the performance and the effectiveness of their capabilities through a common framework that formalizes the steps to follow for the detection and neutralization of threats. In this way, our work can be used not only to identify detection and response gaps, but also to implement a continuous improvement cycle over time.Villalón-Huerta, A.; Marco-Gisbert, H.; Ripoll-Ripoll, I. (2022). SOC Critical Path: A defensive Kill Chain model. IEEE Access. 10:13570-13581. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2022.314502913570135811

Key Requirements for the Detection and Sharing of Behavioral Indicators of Compromise

[EN] Cyber threat intelligence feeds the focus on atomic and computed indicators of compromise. These indicators are the main source of tactical cyber intelligence most organizations benefit from. They are expressed in machine-readable formats, and they are easily loaded into security devices in order to protect infrastructures. However, their usefulness is very limited, specially in terms of time of life. These indicators can be useful when dealing with non-advanced actors, but they are easily avoided by advanced ones. To detect advanced actor¿s activities, an analyst must deal with behavioral indicators of compromise, which represent tactics, techniques and procedures that are not as common as the atomic and computed ones. In this paper, we analyze why these indicators are not widely used, and we identify key requirements for successful behavioral IOC detection, specification and sharing. We follow the intelligence cycle as the arranged sequence of steps for a defensive team to work, thereby providing a common reference for these teams to identify gaps in their capabilities.Villalón-Huerta, A.; Ripoll-Ripoll, I.; Marco-Gisbert, H. (2022). Key Requirements for the Detection and Sharing of Behavioral Indicators of Compromise. Electronics. 11(3):1-20. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics1103041612011

CNA Tactics and Techniques: A Structure Proposal

[EN] Destructive and control operations are today a major threat for cyber physical systems. These operations, known as Computer Network Attack (CNA), and usually linked to state-sponsored actors, are much less analyzed than Computer Network Exploitation activities (CNE), those related to intelligence gathering. While in CNE operations the main tactics and techniques are defined and well structured, in CNA there is a lack of such consensuated approaches. This situation hinders the modeling of threat actors, which prevents an accurate definition of control to identify and to neutralize malicious activities. In this paper, we propose the first global approach for CNA operations that can be used to map real-world activities. The proposal significantly reduces the amount of effort need to identify, analyze, and neutralize advanced threat actors targeting cyber physical systems. It follows a logical structure that can be easy to expand and adapt.Villalón-Huerta, A.; Ripoll-Ripoll, I.; Marco-Gisbert, H. (2021). CNA Tactics and Techniques: A Structure Proposal. Journal of Sensor and Actuator Networks. 10(1):1-23. https://doi.org/10.3390/jsan10010014S12310

A taxonomy for threat actors' persistence techniques

[EN] The main contribution of this paper is to provide an accurate taxonomy for Persistence techniques, which allows the detection of novel techniques and the identification of appropriate countermeasures. Persistence is a key tactic for advanced offensive cyber operations. The techniques that achieve persistence have been largely analyzed in particular environments, but there is no suitable platform¿agnostic model to structure persistence techniques. This lack causes a serious problem in the modeling of activities of advanced threat actors, hindering both their detection and the implementation of countermeasures against their activities. In this paper we analyze previous work in this field and propose a novel taxonomy for persistence techniques based on persistence points, a key concept we introduce in our work as the basis for the proposed taxonomy. Our work will help analysts to identify, classify and detect compromises, significantly reducing the amount of effort needed for these tasks. It follows a logical structure that can be easy to expand and adapt, and it can be directly used in commonly accepted industry standards such as MITRE ATT&CK.Villalón-Huerta, A.; Marco-Gisbert, H.; Ripoll-Ripoll, I. (2022). A taxonomy for threat actors' persistence techniques. Computers & Security. 121:1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cose.2022.10285511412

Key Requirements for the Detection and Sharing of Behavioral Indicators of Compromise

Cyber threat intelligence feeds the focus on atomic and computed indicators of compromise. These indicators are the main source of tactical cyber intelligence most organizations benefit from. They are expressed in machine-readable formats, and they are easily loaded into security devices in order to protect infrastructures. However, their usefulness is very limited, specially in terms of time of life. These indicators can be useful when dealing with non-advanced actors, but they are easily avoided by advanced ones. To detect advanced actor’s activities, an analyst must deal with behavioral indicators of compromise, which represent tactics, techniques and procedures that are not as common as the atomic and computed ones. In this paper, we analyze why these indicators are not widely used, and we identify key requirements for successful behavioral IOC detection, specification and sharing. We follow the intelligence cycle as the arranged sequence of steps for a defensive team to work, thereby providing a common reference for these teams to identify gaps in their capabilities

A Taxonomy for Threat Actors’ Delivery Techniques

The main contribution of this paper is to provide an accurate taxonomy for delivery techniques, which allows the detection of novel techniques and the identification of appropriate countermeasures. Delivery is a key stage for offensive cyber operations. During delivery, a threat actor tries to gain an initial foothold into the targeted infrastructure. It is the first step of an offensive cyber operation, where the threat actor interacts with its victim in a hostile way; thus, its success is mandatory for the global achievement of the operation. However, delivery techniques are not well structured among the literature, being in many cases a simple list of techniques with which, if one of them is slightly modified by the threat actor, its detection becomes very difficult. This situation hinders the modeling of hostile actors, a fact that makes it difficult to identify countermeasures to detect and neutralize their malicious activities. In this work, we analyze the current delivery techniques’ classification approaches and the problems linked to them. From this analysis, we propose a novel taxonomy that allows the accurate classification of techniques, overcoming the identified problems and allowing both the discovery of new techniques and the detection of gaps in deployed countermeasures. Our proposal significantly reduces the amount of effort needed to identify, analyze, and neutralize hostile activities from advanced threat actors, in particular their initial access stage. It follows a logical structure that can be easy to expand and adapt, and it can be directly used in the industry’s commonly accepted standards, such as MITRE ATT&CK